01567nam a2200385 c 4500001001300000005001500013007000300028008004100031020003500072040001900107041001300126049001400139052001700153056001400170242003600184245017700220246007700397260003700474300004000511500005200551500001700603500003600620500005100656546004100707700005000748700003800798700003800836765010200874900003700976900004801013900003801061900003801099900003201137950001201169JMO20230137620230905105722ta230808s2022    ja d          001   jpn    a9784622095507gC0036:c￥5000  a011001c0110011 ajpnheng0 lEM860422401a340.18b23-1  a340.182610a전문가의 정치예측.ykor00a専門家の政治予測 :bどれだけ当たるか?どうしたら当てられるか? /dフィリップ・E・テトロック [著] ;e桃井緑美子,e吉田周平 訳19aExpert political judgment :bhow good is it? how can we know?g(New ed.)  a東京 :bみすず書房,c2022  alvi, 308, 128 p. :b도표 ;c20 cm  a권말부록: 硏究方法解說 ; 技術解說  a색인수록  a원저자명: Philip E. Tetlock  a권말부록: 硏究方法解說, 技術解說  a영어 원작을 일본어로 번역1 aTetlock, Philip E.,d1954-0KAC2017289774aut1 a모모이 루미코0KAC2002086801 a요시다 슈헤이0KAC2023916460 tExpert political judgment : how good is it? how can we know?z9780691178288w(011001)WMO20180307710aTetlock, Philip Eyrikson,d1954-10aテトロック, フィリップ E.,d1954-10a도정록미자,g桃井緑美子10a도정녹미자,g桃井緑美子10a길전주평,g吉田周平0 b￥5000